Journal of Computers, Vol 7, No 7 (2012), 1704-1711, Jul 2012
doi:10.4304/jcp.7.7.1704-1711

Analysis of Load Factors Based on Interpretive Structural Model

Yanmei Li, Chen ZI

Abstract


There are so many factors of power load. The paper proposed a method of interpretive structural model that is used to analysis the factors of power load. Determine the factors of power load, establishing the interpretive structural model, seeking the solution of ratability matrix, and analyzing the relationship between various factors, finding the surface, middle and deep factors. Take risk factors which influence the power load as the objects of study, building a hierarchical structure chart and the risk transmission chain of the risk system, establishing power load forecasting model with ISM-based risk analysis. Verifying the effectiveness of the method by simulation and providing decision basis for risk management of power load forecasting.


Keywords


power load; interpretive structural model; risk; forecasting

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